ANPOTA AI OS — Unified Monte Carlo Acquisition & Buyer Simulator
Healthcare • Home Services • B2B Services (sector-tuned). Every module runs Monte Carlo (default 1,000 iterations). Top Targets ranks using configurable weights + smarter Roll-Up/Hold/Avoid recommendation.
Controls
Tip: Add 3–10 companies, then run Full Monte Carlo. Use “Advanced: Realism Inputs” to add WC peg, QoE add-backs, concentration, churn, and sector flags.
Companies List
Companies Monte Carlo (IRR Distribution)
Shows p10 / p50 / p90 and mean per company (Monte Carlo-based).
Capital Stack Summary (Monte Carlo mean)
Debt ranges are probabilistic and sector-tuned. Equity is residual (respects manual overrides + WC peg).
LP Waterfall Inputs
Waterfall model: pref + carry, driven by portfolio cashflows from Monte Carlo.
LP Distributions (Monte Carlo p10/p50/p90 + mean)
Seller Note Engine
Randomizes seller note size/rate/term within sector ranges and estimates seller leverage & posture (risk-adjusted).
Seller Module Chart (Score Distribution)
Platform Roll-Up Synergy Engine
Synergy uplift per add-on uses your Synergy Range and compounds. Add-on count is randomized up to Max Add-Ons.
Chart includes p10/p50/p90 and mean per company (roll-up scenario).
Roll-Up IRR with Percentile Lines (p10/p50/p90 + mean)
Exit Buyer AI
Scores Strategic / Sponsor / Family Office / Regional Consolidator using sector fit + quality + story strength.
Exit Timing AI (Year 3 vs 5 vs 7)
Simulates buyer appetite, multiple expansion/compression, and operating drift.
Recommendation Engine (Roll-Up / Hold / Avoid)
Uses lift percentile, integration risk, retrade risk, and buyer close probability.
Exit Timing Outcomes (p10/p50/p90 + mean IRR)
Deal Quadrant (Risk vs Opportunity)
Risk blends seller friction + integration risk + retrade + flags + auction pressure.
Quadrant Chart
Buyer Outreach • Negotiation • Auction Pressure • Counter-Offer • Retrade Defense
Each module runs Monte Carlo and contributes to Top Targets composite scoring.
Buyer Outreach Prioritization (p50)
Buyer Negotiation Script AI (p50)
Auction Pressure Simulator (p50)
Buyer Counter-Offer Response AI (p50)
Retrade Defense AI (p50)
Exit Buyer Probability (Close Likelihood, p50)
Deal Score Configuration (Weights + Presets)
Weights Editor (sliders auto-normalize)
Filters (Tiers + Rules)
Filters apply to “All Deals Ranking”. Top 5 always shows the best 5 overall.
🔥 Top 5 Targets (Composite Scoring)
Includes Roll-Up recommendation, confidence, rationale, and buyer modules.
| Rank | ★ | Company | Sector | IRR (p50) | Seller | Exit | Buyer Fit | Retrade | Rec | Conf | Composite |
|---|
Composite = normalized weighted blend (configurable). Auction is a penalty, Roll-Up lift is a capped bonus.
Hot Deals Rationale (Top 5)
All Deals Ranking (Filtered)
| Rank | ★ | Company | Tier | Rec | Composite | IRR p50 | Buyer Fit | Seller | Exit | Risks |
|---|
Top Targets Map (IRR vs Buyer Fit; bubble = composite)
Hot Deals Score Chart (Top 5 composite + confidence)
Watchlist
Star deals anywhere. Watchlist persists to localStorage/JSON state.
Alert Rules
Alerts Feed
Generated when watched deals shift materially (score, seller score, recommendation flips).
Audit Panel (Inputs Used + Overrides)
Shows inputs present per company and global settings.
| Company | Sector | Growth Mode | Capital Stack Mode | Rates/Terms Mode | Realism Inputs | Overrides Summary |
|---|